Tim Blair


New Criterion



Monday, October 11, 2004

Mark Latham should announce he'll be standing down at the first meeting of Caucus. At that meeting Caucus should elect one of its saner rising stars and give him/her three clear years to prepare for 2008.

John Howard should announce nothing, but prepare to hand over to Peter Costello no later than eighteen months from now.

What will happen:

Mark Latham will say, if he appears at all, that he'll be standing for the leadership. At its first meeting Caucus will congratulate him for a successful campaign and elect him.

John Howard will announce nothing much, certainly not the sale of Telstra, and forget about the leadership succession. His party room won't force the issue.